SC Villa vs NEC FC analysis


39	ELO	16
-20.1%	Tilt	-25.2%
6639º	General ELO ranking	7825º
3º	Country ELO ranking	13º
ELO win probability

78.5%

SC Villa

14.2%

Draw

7.3%

NEC FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

78.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%

14.2%

Draw

0-0

4%

1-1

6.7%

2-2

2.8%

3-3

0.5%

4-4

0.1%

0

14.2%

7.3%

Win probability

0.66

Expected goals

0-1

2.6%

1-2

2.2%

2-3

0.6%

3-4

0.1%

-1

5.5%

0-2

0.9%

1-3

0.5%

2-4

0.1%

3-5

0%

-2

1.5%

0-3

0.2%

1-4

0.1%

2-5

0%

-3

0.3%

0-4

0%

1-5

0%

-4

<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+30%

+87%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SC Villa

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
24 Sep. 2023	MFC 1 - 1 SCV 50% 27% 23%	38	40	2	0
15 Sep. 2023	SCV 1 - 2 KIT 64% 19% 17%	39	27	12	-1
27 May. 2023	SCV 0 - 1 URA 42% 28% 30%	40	40	0	-1
23 May. 2023	SCV 1 - 0 BPF 80% 13% 7%	40	19	21	0
16 May. 2023	UPD 0 - 2 SCV 40% 29% 30%	38	36	2	+2