SC Villa vs Mbarara City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
27.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
OND
1 - 0
SCV
47%
26%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
SCV
1 - 2
EXP
40%
29%
31%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
OND
0 - 1
SCV
43%
28%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
WAK
1 - 2
SCV
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
URA
3 - 1
SCV
57%
25%
18%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Mbarara City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2022 |
MCF
3 - 0
UGA
36%
26%
38%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
VIP
2 - 0
MCF
64%
22%
15%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2022 |
MCF
1 - 1
BUL
34%
26%
41%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
MCF
0 - 0
EXP
37%
27%
36%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
MCF
4 - 0
IGA
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 7 | 27 | 0 |