SC Villa vs Mbarara City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
33.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2019 |
KYE
1 - 0
SCV
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2019 |
SCV
0 - 0
NUF
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
EXP
1 - 1
SCV
36%
29%
35%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
SCV
2 - 1
MCF
40%
29%
31%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
OND
2 - 1
SCV
47%
28%
24%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Mbarara City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
MCF
3 - 0
PRO
60%
23%
17%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
SOA
3 - 1
MCF
48%
27%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2019 |
MCF
0 - 0
VIP
29%
32%
39%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
SCV
2 - 1
MCF
40%
29%
31%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2019 |
MCF
0 - 0
NUF
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | +1 |