SC Villa vs Gaddafi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
26.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
EXP
1 - 2
SCV
44%
29%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 1
SCV
40%
30%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2023 |
SCV
2 - 0
JIN
57%
22%
21%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
MCF
0 - 0
SCV
35%
27%
38%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
SCV
3 - 1
AHS
48%
26%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gaddafi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
GAD
2 - 1
UPD
47%
23%
30%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
KCC
6 - 1
GAD
62%
19%
20%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
GAD
2 - 2
BRI
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
GAD
2 - 1
MCF
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
NEC
0 - 3
GAD
25%
22%
54%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |