SC Villa vs Arua Hill analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
SCV
1 - 2
BUL
43%
27%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
VIP
1 - 1
SCV
57%
24%
19%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
SCV
3 - 0
NEC
79%
14%
7%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 1
SCV
50%
27%
23%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
SCV
1 - 2
KIT
64%
19%
17%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Arua Hill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
AHS
1 - 1
KCC
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
MCF
1 - 0
AHS
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2023 |
AHS
0 - 1
GAD
63%
19%
18%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AHS
1 - 2
BUL
50%
25%
26%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
VIP
2 - 0
AHS
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |