SC Villa vs Arua Hill analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
SCV
0 - 0
VIP
33%
27%
40%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2022 |
UGA
0 - 0
SCV
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
SCV
1 - 2
BUL
36%
27%
37%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
SCV
2 - 1
MCF
47%
25%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
OND
1 - 0
SCV
47%
26%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arua Hill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2022 |
OND
0 - 3
AHS
39%
27%
33%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
AHS
2 - 1
MCF
67%
20%
13%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
AHS
2 - 0
JIN
75%
15%
10%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2022 |
KCC
0 - 0
AHS
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
AHS
1 - 1
GAD
63%
21%
17%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |