SC Verl II vs Preußen Münster II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
63.2%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+148%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
1º
16º
16º
6
8º
18º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
15 | 66 |
1º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 65 |
2º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 64 |
3º
|
10.5% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 64 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 63 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 62 |
6º
|
13.5% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 62 |
7º
|
13% | |
|
|
17º
|
6 | 57 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 56 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 54 |
10º
|
8% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 50 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 48 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 46 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 42 |
14º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 40 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
|
13º
|
7 | 39 |
16º
|
13% | |
|
18º
|
5 | 32 |
17º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 30 |
18º
|
22.5% | |
|
19º
|
0 | 20 |
19º
|
58% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 9.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
88.5% | 89% |
|
Relegation
|
11.5% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Verl II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2024 |
HAM
2 - 3
SCV
18%
20%
63%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
SCV
4 - 1
SVR
56%
20%
24%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
DSC
0 - 1
SCV
62%
19%
19%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
SCV
4 - 1
SCM
67%
17%
16%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FCN
1 - 1
SCV
11%
17%
72%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Preußen Münster II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
SVE
3 - 1
PRE
33%
24%
44%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
GUT
2 - 1
PRE
45%
24%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2024 |
WUP
3 - 2
PRE
83%
12%
5%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
PRE
0 - 1
FOR
28%
23%
49%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
PRE
0 - 2
WER
72%
17%
11%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -1 |