SC Velbert vs Homberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
69.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.4%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
NET
0 - 0
VEL
23%
23%
54%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
JDH
1 - 2
VEL
25%
22%
53%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
VEL
1 - 1
SPE
78%
14%
9%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
FCB
0 - 1
VEL
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
VEL
3 - 1
KLE
50%
22%
28%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Homberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
VFB
9 - 1
SPE
89%
8%
3%
|
45 | 19 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2019 |
VFB
3 - 1
DUS
81%
13%
7%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
FCB
1 - 2
VFB
13%
20%
67%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
VFB
3 - 1
DUS
83%
12%
6%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
HIL
0 - 1
VFB
19%
19%
62%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |