SC Velbert vs VfL Benrath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
8.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
VEL
3 - 2
FCR
16%
20%
64%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SSV
0 - 2
VEL
28%
22%
50%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
VEL
0 - 2
SSN
39%
23%
38%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2015 |
DAK
2 - 2
VEL
21%
21%
58%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VEL
0 - 0
DUS
60%
20%
20%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
VfL Benrath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
TSR
0 - 3
VFL
64%
18%
18%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
VFL
4 - 2
SFN
29%
22%
49%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +4 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
RAT
5 - 1
VFL
79%
13%
8%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
TEW
1 - 2
VFL
44%
22%
34%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
NIE
4 - 2
VFL
85%
10%
5%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | -1 |