SC Union Nettetal vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
44.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
+38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
9º
16º
12º
54
6º
17º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
57.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
48.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 53 |
7º
|
4.5% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
36% | |
|
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 38 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 36 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 35 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
81.5% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Union Nettetal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
NET
1 - 0
MEE
49%
22%
30%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
NET
1 - 2
SON
39%
23%
38%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
SFB
3 - 0
NET
69%
18%
14%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
HIL
2 - 2
NET
69%
19%
12%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
NET
1 - 1
STR
40%
22%
38%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
SWE
1 - 1
TDV
32%
24%
44%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SPR
1 - 1
SWE
22%
21%
57%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
SSN
0 - 4
SWE
12%
18%
71%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
STR
2 - 0
SWE
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
KLE
0 - 2
SWE
25%
21%
54%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +2 |