Staaken vs Sparta Lichtenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
7.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
15º
13º
53
2º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 77 |
1º
|
75% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 76 |
2º
|
75% | |
|
|
3º
|
53 | 57 |
3º
|
93% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
69% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
49.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 44 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 40 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
28.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
23% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
4.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
12º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 26 |
15º
|
83.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
99.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Staaken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SCS
2 - 2
FCW
67%
17%
16%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
SCS
2 - 2
CHA
79%
13%
8%
|
31 | 9 | 22 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
MAH
1 - 0
SCS
40%
24%
36%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SCS
3 - 2
TEN
70%
17%
14%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
HER
3 - 4
SCS
32%
24%
45%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sparta Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SVS
4 - 2
ANK
21%
20%
59%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
MAH
1 - 1
SVS
80%
13%
7%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SVS
1 - 0
OPT
19%
19%
62%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
TEN
4 - 2
SVS
82%
11%
7%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
SVS
4 - 2
DSC
8%
14%
78%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | +4 |