Schwyz vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
2.2%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.2%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.3%
1-0
0.8%
2-1
0.7%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
1.8%
6%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
2.9%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
6%
91.7%
Win probability
3.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
12.7%
1-4
5.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.7%
0-4
11.6%
1-5
4.3%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
16.6%
0-5
8.5%
1-6
2.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
11.5%
0-6
5.2%
1-7
1.4%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
6.8%
0-7
2.7%
1-8
0.6%
2-9
0.1%
-7
3.4%
0-8
1.3%
1-9
0.3%
2-10
0%
-8
1.5%
0-9
0.5%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.6%
0-10
0.2%
-10
0.2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
ETO
0 - 2
THU
24%
24%
52%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
THU
1 - 1
STA
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
THU
2 - 0
FCV
55%
23%
23%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 3
THU
26%
24%
49%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
THU
2 - 1
SOC
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |