SC Scarborough vs Toronto Falcons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
16.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
3º
2º
25
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
25 | 35 |
1º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
22 | 34 |
2º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 13 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 10 |
5º
|
85.5% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 7 |
6º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Scarborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
SCA
5 - 2
UFC
80%
13%
7%
|
67 | 9 | 58 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SER
1 - 0
SCA
25%
23%
52%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SCA
6 - 1
LON
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
SFS
0 - 10
SCA
13%
18%
69%
|
66 | 8 | 58 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
UFC
1 - 1
SCA
13%
18%
69%
|
66 | 11 | 55 | 0 |
Matches
Toronto Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SFS
1 - 4
TOR
15%
20%
65%
|
57 | 9 | 48 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 0
LON
52%
22%
27%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
UFC
0 - 4
TOR
14%
20%
66%
|
56 | 11 | 45 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 1
SER
40%
25%
35%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TOR
3 - 0
SFS
80%
13%
7%
|
56 | 8 | 48 | 0 |