SC Retz vs Ortmann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
31.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
3º
15º
7º
47
3º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SC Retz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ASV
1 - 0
SCR
55%
21%
25%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
SCR
2 - 1
LAN
57%
21%
22%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SVG
2 - 0
SCR
79%
15%
6%
|
28 | 73 | 45 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SCR
1 - 1
MKO
61%
19%
20%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SCH
0 - 0
SCR
60%
21%
20%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SCO
1 - 1
KOT
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2023 |
WAI
0 - 4
SCO
13%
20%
67%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
SCO
5 - 1
SVR
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
STP
0 - 1
SCO
41%
24%
35%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
SCO
4 - 1
ZWE
47%
24%
29%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +2 |