Penedense vs Santa Rita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
50.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CRB
3 - 0
PEN
76%
16%
8%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
PEN
0 - 1
CSE
33%
26%
41%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
PEN
0 - 0
MUR
26%
26%
48%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
ASA
3 - 0
PEN
76%
16%
9%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
PEN
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Rita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
CEO
52%
24%
25%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2014 |
MUR
0 - 2
SAN
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 1
MUR
39%
26%
36%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 0
SAN
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
SAN
3 - 1
COR
46%
25%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |