Penedense vs Murici analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
47.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2014 |
ASA
3 - 0
PEN
76%
16%
9%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 0
PEN
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
PEN
3 - 3
COR
29%
27%
44%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CEO
2 - 0
PEN
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 0
CDV
57%
23%
20%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 1
COR
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CEO
0 - 1
MUR
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
MUR
0 - 1
CDV
74%
17%
10%
|
47 | 26 | 21 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
CSE
1 - 2
MUR
36%
26%
38%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
MUR
2 - 2
SAN
51%
23%
25%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |