Penedense vs Comercial de Vicosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ASA
4 - 3
PEN
76%
16%
9%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 1
SAN
25%
25%
50%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CRB
3 - 0
PEN
76%
16%
8%
|
34 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
PEN
0 - 1
CSE
33%
26%
41%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
PEN
0 - 0
MUR
26%
26%
48%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Comercial de Vicosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
CDV
0 - 2
CSA
21%
26%
52%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
MUR
1 - 1
CDV
74%
17%
9%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CDV
1 - 3
COR
24%
23%
53%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
CEO
1 - 1
CDV
68%
19%
13%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
CEO
0 - 0
CDV
69%
18%
13%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | 0 |