Penedense vs Comercial de Vicosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
CSE
0 - 2
PEN
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 2
COR
22%
25%
53%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
ATA
3 - 2
PEN
59%
21%
20%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
PEN
1 - 2
ASA
11%
20%
70%
|
35 | 62 | 27 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
CRB
1 - 3
PEN
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
Comercial de Vicosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
CDV
0 - 2
COR
25%
24%
51%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
CDV
0 - 2
COR
17%
21%
62%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
CSA
1 - 2
CDV
82%
12%
6%
|
27 | 49 | 22 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 2
CDV
46%
23%
31%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
CDV
1 - 1
MUR
17%
22%
61%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | +2 |