Penedense vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
67.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.4%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
CSE
1 - 2
PEN
65%
20%
15%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
PEN
0 - 3
CSA
29%
30%
41%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
CSE
4 - 1
PEN
56%
23%
21%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 2
CRB
14%
23%
63%
|
35 | 58 | 23 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 2
PEN
57%
23%
21%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2016 |
ASA
1 - 2
CRB
35%
26%
38%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
IPA
1 - 2
ASA
13%
22%
65%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
ASA
1 - 2
TUP
54%
26%
20%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
TUP
2 - 0
ASA
30%
27%
43%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
ASA
1 - 0
VIL
45%
26%
29%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |