Penedense vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
60.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CDV
2 - 1
PEN
28%
23%
49%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 1
CDV
57%
23%
20%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ASA
4 - 3
PEN
76%
16%
9%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
PEN
1 - 1
SAN
25%
25%
50%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CRB
3 - 0
PEN
76%
16%
8%
|
34 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ASA
0 - 1
MUR
67%
19%
14%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
MUR
2 - 1
ASA
28%
25%
47%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ASA
4 - 3
PEN
76%
16%
9%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CEO
0 - 0
ASA
18%
21%
61%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
ASA
3 - 2
CSA
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |