Ortmann vs Zwettl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
32.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
SVR
2 - 0
SCO
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
SCO
1 - 0
STP
35%
22%
44%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
SCO
2 - 1
ROH
26%
22%
53%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SPR
1 - 0
SCO
59%
20%
20%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
SCO
1 - 1
ARD
22%
20%
57%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Zwettl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
ZWE
3 - 3
SPR
42%
24%
35%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
ARD
2 - 0
ZWE
58%
22%
21%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
ZWE
0 - 1
KOT
17%
21%
62%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
GAF
1 - 2
ZWE
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
ZWE
1 - 3
WAI
21%
20%
59%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |