Ortmann vs Waidhofen / Thaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
6.9%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
3º
13º
6º
11
11º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
SVR
1 - 1
SCO
32%
25%
43%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
SCO
4 - 1
STP
41%
23%
36%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
ZWE
2 - 2
SCO
54%
22%
24%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SCO
3 - 1
STP
45%
23%
31%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
WIE
1 - 3
SCO
76%
15%
10%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Waidhofen / Thaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2024 |
WAI
0 - 3
ASV
10%
18%
72%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
LAN
4 - 0
WAI
80%
13%
8%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
WAI
0 - 0
SVG
12%
22%
67%
|
16 | 72 | 56 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
MKO
4 - 0
WAI
79%
13%
9%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
WAI
1 - 1
SCR
12%
20%
68%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | +1 |