Ortmann vs St. Peter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
43.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
SCO
2 - 1
ROH
26%
22%
53%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SPR
1 - 0
SCO
59%
20%
20%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
SCO
1 - 1
ARD
22%
20%
57%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
KOT
2 - 0
SCO
86%
10%
4%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
SCO
1 - 3
GAF
15%
17%
68%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
St. Peter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
STP
2 - 0
SPR
40%
24%
36%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
ARD
0 - 0
STP
57%
22%
22%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
STP
0 - 0
KOT
13%
19%
68%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
GAF
3 - 1
STP
79%
13%
8%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
STP
1 - 3
WAI
20%
21%
59%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |