Ortmann vs SC Retz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.6%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
78.8%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10.5%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
SCH
0 - 0
SCO
86%
10%
4%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2018 |
SCO
1 - 2
PAR
8%
12%
80%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2018 |
SCO
4 - 2
NEU
57%
20%
23%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2017 |
SCO
3 - 2
SVS
59%
19%
21%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2009 |
SCO
1 - 1
GOT
19%
23%
58%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
SC Retz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
SCR
1 - 0
STP
82%
12%
6%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
SCR
5 - 0
EGG
84%
11%
5%
|
33 | 6 | 27 | +2 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
SCR
4 - 0
ELE
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
SCH
0 - 2
SCR
38%
22%
40%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
SCR
0 - 3
KOT
60%
21%
20%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |