Ortmann vs Gaflenz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.4%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
68.1%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.7%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
WAI
3 - 2
SCO
78%
13%
9%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
SCO
2 - 1
LAN
20%
20%
60%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
SCO
2 - 4
SCR
8%
14%
79%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
SCH
0 - 0
SCO
86%
10%
4%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2018 |
SCO
1 - 2
PAR
8%
12%
80%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Gaflenz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
GAF
3 - 0
SPR
71%
16%
13%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
ARD
1 - 1
GAF
31%
23%
46%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
GAF
2 - 1
ROH
75%
14%
11%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
GAF
2 - 1
KOT
29%
23%
48%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +2 |
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
KOT
3 - 1
GAF
65%
20%
16%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |