Ortmann vs Ardagger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
52.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
8º
7º
60
1º
11º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 19 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ortmann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
SCU
0 - 1
SCO
47%
22%
31%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
SCO
2 - 0
MAN
81%
12%
7%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
SPR
0 - 0
SCO
43%
24%
33%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
SCO
1 - 3
LAN
56%
22%
22%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SCR
0 - 0
SCO
75%
15%
10%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Ardagger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
ARD
2 - 1
SVH
73%
18%
9%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
ARD
3 - 0
SPR
65%
21%
15%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
LAN
3 - 3
ARD
24%
24%
52%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
ARD
3 - 0
SCR
35%
25%
40%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
SCH
1 - 0
ARD
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |