Olhanense vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olhanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
BEL
3 - 0
OLH
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
OLH
4 - 0
LEX
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1974 |
BOA
2 - 0
OLH
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1974 |
OLH
0 - 0
VST
18%
28%
54%
|
56 | 87 | 31 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
FCB
1 - 1
OLH
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
ORI
0 - 3
ACA
35%
29%
36%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
SCP
8 - 0
ORI
85%
11%
4%
|
54 | 88 | 34 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1974 |
ORI
1 - 3
SLB
14%
25%
61%
|
54 | 88 | 34 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1974 |
VIT
4 - 1
ORI
73%
18%
9%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1974 |
ORI
1 - 3
FCP
21%
28%
52%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | 0 |