Olhanense vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.9%
Win probability
3.6
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.5%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.6%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.1%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.2%
5.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olhanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
OLH
3 - 1
SPB
67%
16%
17%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
VIT
3 - 1
OLH
56%
20%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
OLH
3 - 1
SPC
73%
14%
13%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
OEL
4 - 3
OLH
53%
20%
28%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
OLH
6 - 1
FCP
39%
22%
39%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
VIT
4 - 1
LUS
82%
11%
7%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
LUS
2 - 1
OEL
38%
24%
38%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
ACA
2 - 0
LUS
82%
11%
8%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
LUS
2 - 3
SLB
6%
12%
82%
|
55 | 88 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
BEL
3 - 1
LUS
92%
6%
2%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | -1 |