Olhanense vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
3.56
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
9.8%
6.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Olhanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1949 |
OLH
3 - 2
SPB
70%
15%
15%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
BOA
5 - 1
OLH
47%
23%
31%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
OLH
4 - 1
OEL
67%
16%
17%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
EST
6 - 1
OLH
76%
13%
11%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
OLH
3 - 7
SCP
26%
20%
55%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1949 |
VIT
5 - 0
LUS
80%
12%
8%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
LUS
2 - 0
SPB
39%
24%
37%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
FCP
3 - 0
LUS
90%
6%
4%
|
56 | 80 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
LUS
1 - 0
BOA
49%
22%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
SPC
3 - 0
LUS
67%
17%
16%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |