SC Neukirchen vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
66.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1985 |
KOL
2 - 0
BVB
68%
18%
15%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1985 |
BVB
1 - 1
HSV
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1985 |
SAA
1 - 1
BVB
47%
25%
29%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1985 |
BVB
2 - 0
BRE
33%
24%
43%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 1985 |
S04
3 - 1
BVB
62%
20%
18%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |