Mils vs SV Innsbruck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.2%
21.7%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
15º
8º
22
13º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
65% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
83% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
83% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
FCK
2 - 3
SCM
22%
19%
59%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
SCM
3 - 3
KIR
72%
15%
13%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
STJ
1 - 2
SCM
33%
22%
46%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
IAC
3 - 2
SCM
55%
20%
25%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
SCM
5 - 2
FCV
74%
15%
12%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
SV Innsbruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
SVI
1 - 6
FUG
27%
22%
51%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
WAT
3 - 1
SVI
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
FCW
4 - 0
SVI
76%
14%
10%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
SVI
0 - 2
HAL
30%
22%
48%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
HAL
2 - 1
SVI
57%
21%
23%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |