Mils vs Ebbs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
35.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
15º
8º
50
2º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
65% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
83% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
83% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SCM
8 - 2
UNI
53%
19%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
KIR
2 - 3
SCM
32%
21%
47%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
FCV
2 - 2
SCM
25%
21%
54%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SCM
0 - 3
KEM
44%
21%
36%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
STJ
6 - 1
SCM
30%
21%
49%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Ebbs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
EBB
1 - 1
KIR
72%
16%
12%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
KEM
1 - 3
EBB
54%
21%
25%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
WBO
3 - 4
EBB
23%
21%
56%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
EBB
4 - 0
STJ
53%
22%
25%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
VOL
4 - 2
EBB
59%
21%
21%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |