Mils vs Natters analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.4%
14.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
15º
8º
32
5º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
3º
|
65% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 41 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
83% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
83% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
22 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SPG
5 - 0
SCM
34%
22%
45%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SCM
4 - 3
IAC
44%
21%
35%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SCM
2 - 3
SCM
17%
18%
65%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SCM
3 - 2
EBB
43%
21%
36%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SCM
8 - 2
UNI
53%
19%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Natters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FCK
1 - 1
KIR
61%
19%
20%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
KEM
3 - 2
FCK
69%
17%
14%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
SVI
0 - 2
FCK
41%
22%
37%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
FCK
2 - 1
STJ
45%
23%
33%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
VOL
2 - 2
FCK
81%
12%
7%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |