Almirante Barroso vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
66.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Barroso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
TUB
1 - 0
LIT
49%
24%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
LIT
3 - 1
TUB
34%
26%
40%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
TUB
2 - 0
LIT
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
LIT
3 - 0
JAR
73%
16%
11%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
LIT
2 - 2
JUV
44%
24%
32%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 0
JEC
72%
19%
10%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
JEC
4 - 2
VIL
34%
29%
37%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2016 |
OES
0 - 2
JEC
39%
29%
32%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2016 |
GOI
3 - 2
JEC
60%
24%
15%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2016 |
JEC
1 - 1
BRA
45%
29%
26%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |