Almirante Barroso vs Criciúma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
71.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Barroso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
MET
1 - 0
LIT
51%
23%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
FFL
1 - 0
LIT
80%
14%
6%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
LIT
2 - 3
CHA
6%
14%
80%
|
45 | 78 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
LIT
2 - 1
INT
26%
24%
51%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
JEC
2 - 0
LIT
63%
23%
14%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Criciúma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
CRI
0 - 0
FFL
41%
25%
34%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
CRI
1 - 0
INT
71%
17%
12%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
JEC
1 - 0
CRI
30%
27%
44%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CRI
4 - 4
BRU
60%
22%
19%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
FLU
3 - 2
CRI
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |