Almirante Barroso vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.7%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.6%
80.4%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
12.5%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
17.4%
0-4
7.9%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
10.2%
0-5
4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Almirante Barroso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
LIT
2 - 1
INT
26%
24%
51%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
JEC
2 - 0
LIT
63%
23%
14%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
TUB
4 - 1
LIT
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
LIT
0 - 3
AVA
9%
16%
75%
|
45 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
BRU
3 - 2
LIT
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
CHA
7 - 0
TUB
82%
14%
4%
|
77 | 49 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 3
LAN
32%
26%
41%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
INT
0 - 0
CHA
14%
21%
65%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
ZUL
1 - 2
CHA
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SBO
2 - 1
CHA
20%
24%
56%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |