Julich 1910 vs Werder Bremen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
64.8%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Julich 1910
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1984 |
NUR
0 - 3
SCJ
59%
20%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1984 |
SCJ
2 - 1
FCR
88%
8%
4%
|
42 | 10 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
BYM
8 - 0
SCJ
93%
5%
2%
|
42 | 89 | 47 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1978 |
SCJ
1 - 10
OFC
17%
17%
66%
|
43 | 75 | 32 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1975 |
HSV
4 - 0
SCJ
95%
4%
1%
|
43 | 85 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Werder Bremen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1984 |
BRE
6 - 0
BVB
76%
14%
10%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1984 |
ARB
3 - 4
BRE
28%
25%
47%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1984 |
BRE
4 - 1
EBT
77%
14%
9%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1984 |
BRE
5 - 0
DAR
86%
9%
5%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1984 |
KAI
2 - 2
BRE
45%
24%
32%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |