DFB Pokal Last 16
Global 0-1
Julich 1910 vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.4%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
59.2%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
3.2%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Julich 1910
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1975 |
KÖL
0 - 0
SCJ
88%
8%
4%
|
41 | 72 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1975 |
SCJ
4 - 2
TSV
87%
10%
4%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1974 |
SCJ
4 - 0
VBD
87%
9%
3%
|
41 | 16 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1974 |
VBD
2 - 2
SCJ
17%
24%
60%
|
42 | 14 | 28 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1974 |
SCJ
2 - 1
GOP
47%
24%
28%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 1975 |
KÖL
2 - 1
ERK
83%
12%
5%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1975 |
KÖL
0 - 0
SCJ
88%
8%
4%
|
72 | 41 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1975 |
WOL
1 - 5
KÖL
32%
26%
42%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1975 |
KÖL
1 - 1
OSN
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1975 |
PRE
2 - 3
KÖL
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |