Jaraguá vs Santa Helena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
68.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaraguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
COE
4 - 0
JAR
55%
22%
23%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AEE
2 - 1
JAR
65%
20%
15%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
JAR
1 - 1
APA
14%
17%
70%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
JAT
2 - 0
JAR
70%
18%
12%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
JAR
0 - 2
JAT
13%
17%
71%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Helena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 1
AEE
38%
23%
39%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
APA
1 - 2
SAN
40%
23%
38%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
JAT
1 - 0
SAN
51%
22%
27%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
COE
64%
19%
17%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
COE
1 - 1
SAN
19%
19%
63%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | -1 |