Jaraguá vs Goianésia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
53.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaraguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
APA
1 - 0
JAR
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
JAR
0 - 0
POR
46%
22%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
NME
2 - 0
JAR
68%
20%
13%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
JAR
1 - 3
GAM
18%
23%
60%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
JAR
2 - 0
VIL
11%
19%
70%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | +2 |
Matches
Goianésia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
POR
0 - 1
GOI
25%
25%
50%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
GOI
0 - 0
APA
32%
27%
41%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
GOI
3 - 3
URO
68%
20%
13%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 1
GOI
71%
19%
10%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
APA
1 - 0
GOI
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |