Jaraguá vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
65.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaraguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
URO
2 - 1
JAR
62%
21%
17%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
JAR
0 - 3
GOI
21%
25%
54%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -2 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
APA
1 - 0
JAR
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
JAR
0 - 0
POR
46%
22%
31%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
NME
2 - 0
JAR
68%
20%
13%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 2
APA
62%
22%
15%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 0
GAM
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
URO
2 - 1
BRA
13%
23%
64%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
BRA
3 - 1
NME
69%
19%
11%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
POR
1 - 3
BRA
13%
23%
64%
|
61 | 37 | 24 | 0 |