Jaraguá vs ASEEV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
65.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaraguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
JAR
0 - 1
COE
46%
22%
32%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 0
JAR
77%
15%
8%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
ANA
1 - 0
JAR
79%
14%
7%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
JAR
0 - 2
GIO
14%
17%
69%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ITU
1 - 1
JAR
76%
17%
7%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
ASEEV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2023 |
AEE
1 - 0
SAN
31%
22%
47%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
COE
1 - 0
AEE
13%
16%
71%
|
28 | 12 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
JAT
0 - 1
AEE
55%
21%
24%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
AEE
1 - 1
APA
35%
22%
42%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
APA
4 - 5
AEE
44%
23%
34%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |