Jaraguá vs Anapolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
56.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaraguá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
JAR
1 - 1
GRE
25%
23%
53%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
JAR
1 - 0
AME
49%
22%
29%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
APA
1 - 2
JAR
30%
22%
49%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
RIO
1 - 1
JAR
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
JAR
5 - 0
JAT
38%
22%
40%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Anapolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
ANA
1 - 2
URO
63%
22%
15%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2019 |
PAT
0 - 1
ANA
39%
27%
34%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
OPE
1 - 1
ANA
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
ANA
0 - 1
OPE
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
ANA
1 - 1
PAT
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |