Jaraguá vs Centro Oeste FC analysis


15	ELO	14
-10.2%	Tilt	-11.1%
15293º	General ELO ranking	11332º
518º	Country ELO ranking	458º
ELO win probability

46.2%

Jaraguá

22.1%

Draw

31.7%

Centro Oeste FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

46.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%

22.1%

Draw

0-0

3.1%

1-1

9.3%

2-2

6.9%

3-3

2.3%

4-4

0.4%

5-5

<0%

0

22.1%

31.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-38%

+1478%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Jaraguá

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
20 Aug. 2023	SAN 2 - 0 JAR 77% 15% 8%	16	28	12	0
13 Aug. 2023	ANA 1 - 0 JAR 79% 14% 7%	16	38	22	0
05 Aug. 2023	JAR 0 - 2 GIO 14% 17% 69%	17	35	18	-1
29 Oct. 2022	ITU 1 - 1 JAR 76% 17% 7%	16	33	17	+1
23 Oct. 2022	JAR 0 - 3 ATB 76% 15% 9%	18	7	11	-2