Humaitá vs Vasco da Gama AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
11.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+364%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Humaitá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 1
IND
49%
23%
29%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 1
SCH
16%
18%
67%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
GAL
0 - 4
SCH
31%
24%
45%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
SCH
1 - 0
PLA
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SCH
4 - 0
NAU
76%
16%
8%
|
35 | 13 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
RIO
3 - 3
VAS
71%
18%
11%
|
13 | 39 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
VAS
0 - 2
IND
21%
19%
60%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
AND
1 - 5
VAS
39%
22%
39%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
VAS
4 - 0
ATL
17%
20%
63%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | +3 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
VAS
2 - 1
SEG
21%
19%
60%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | +1 |