Humaitá vs Náutico RR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.8%
9.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Humaitá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
RIO
2 - 0
SCH
37%
22%
41%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
POR
3 - 2
SCH
64%
19%
17%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
SCH
1 - 2
SFC
69%
18%
13%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
SCH
0 - 1
AFC
29%
23%
48%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
SCH
2 - 0
GAL
40%
22%
38%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico RR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 1
SAO
14%
22%
64%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2022 |
REA
1 - 0
NAU
41%
22%
37%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
AFC
3 - 0
NAU
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
NAU
0 - 3
POR
13%
18%
69%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 2
NAU
52%
24%
24%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |