Copa Verde 1/16
Global 1-3
Humaitá vs Nacional AM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
56.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Humaitá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
IND
4 - 4
SCH
61%
19%
20%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
SCH
1 - 2
AND
80%
13%
7%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
SCH
3 - 3
RIO
19%
19%
62%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
ATL
6 - 0
SCH
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
SCH
0 - 1
NAU
70%
17%
14%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
MAN
0 - 0
NAC
53%
25%
23%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 1
PRI
56%
23%
22%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2019 |
NAC
5 - 0
RIO
64%
20%
16%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
IRA
0 - 2
NAC
30%
22%
48%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2019 |
NAC
5 - 1
FAS
52%
24%
25%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |