Humaitá vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.3%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.5%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
83.8%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
16.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.3%
0-3
14.1%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
18.6%
0-4
9.2%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
11.5%
0-5
4.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.8%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Humaitá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
SCH
2 - 0
TDC
26%
21%
53%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
PAY
3 - 0
SCH
83%
12%
5%
|
24 | 62 | 38 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
SCH
3 - 0
NAU
58%
21%
22%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
AFC
6 - 0
SCH
83%
11%
6%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
SCH
2 - 4
POR
24%
23%
53%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 0
COT
11%
19%
70%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
COT
1 - 0
LON
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
COT
0 - 0
IND
79%
14%
7%
|
78 | 46 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
ATP
1 - 1
COT
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
COT
3 - 1
CIA
78%
16%
6%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | 0 |