Humaitá vs Senador Guiomard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
23%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Humaitá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2025 |
POR
3 - 2
SCH
71%
18%
11%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
POR
3 - 0
SCH
77%
15%
8%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SCH
2 - 5
MAN
7%
19%
74%
|
27 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
RIO
2 - 2
SCH
61%
21%
18%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
SCH
0 - 3
TDC
27%
23%
50%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Senador Guiomard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
SEG
2 - 0
ATL
40%
22%
38%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
SEG
1 - 1
RIO
14%
17%
69%
|
16 | 39 | 23 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
VAS
2 - 1
SEG
21%
19%
60%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SEG
0 - 0
IND
19%
19%
63%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
AND
0 - 0
SEG
29%
21%
51%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |