Humaitá vs Senador Guiomard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Humaitá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 5
SCH
15%
17%
68%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
RIO
0 - 1
SCH
38%
22%
40%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2022 |
SCH
1 - 1
GAL
36%
22%
42%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
AND
0 - 2
SCH
16%
17%
67%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
SFC
1 - 1
SCH
11%
15%
74%
|
30 | 10 | 20 | -2 |
Matches
Senador Guiomard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
GAL
1 - 1
SEG
69%
18%
14%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
SFC
0 - 0
SEG
23%
20%
57%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
SEG
3 - 0
ATL
17%
19%
64%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | +3 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
SEG
2 - 0
VAS
48%
21%
31%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2022 |
PLA
2 - 2
SEG
66%
18%
16%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | +1 |